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Does Using “Shuffle” Mean You’re Already ‘Stuffed Full’?

8/23/2020

29 Comments

 
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by David Hagenbuch, founder of Mindful Marketing & author of Honorable Influence

“What do you want to watch?”
“I don’t know; what do you want to watch?”


That conversation must be happening in more homes than just mine, which probably inspired Netflix to introduce its new “Shuffle” feature, aimed at defeating this common viewing dilemma.  But, should people who have to ask their TVs to “play something” even be watching television?
 
This past July, the entertainment-streaming icon started testing a new “Shuffle Play” button, placing a familiar-looking shuffle icon on select users’ accounts.  Those who have the feature might find it below their user profile icon or on the left side of the home screen.  When Shuffle is selected, Netflix serves a chef’s choice of shows “based on viewing history, preferences, and playlists.” 
 
Problem solved:  No more aimless scrolling and probably fewer arguments began by “Anything but that.”  It’s nice to have choices.  It’s also nice when someone/thing helps identify them.
 
But, will Netflix’s Shuffle keep people too tied to their iPads and cemented to their sofas?  Does imploring one’s device to “play something . . . anything” signal digital drunkenness and suggest that the streaming service should stop serving? 
 
In the midst of the pandemic, Netflix has been a hero for the homebound, keeping many a step away from wit’s end with easy access to inexpensive entertainment and even educational content.  In the second quarter of 2020, the streaming service added an impressive 10 million new subscribers, bringing its worldwide total to about 193 million.
 
With so many customers already contently streaming, why does Netflix even need to add a new feature?  Well, like any successful organization, it wants to keep its value proposition fresh and exciting.  As a Netflix spokesperson says, “We’re always looking for better ways to connect members with shows and films that they will love.”
 
The company also needs to keep pace with competitors’ offerings, like HBO Max’s recommendation engine and NBCUniversal’s random play on Peacock.  Likewise, Comcast’s Xfinity has integrated creative voice commands, such as “Surprise Me” and “Happy Stuff” in order to serve up spontaneous and hopefully stimulating shows.
 
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In varied marketing roles, I’ve come across a couple of closely related psychological concepts that help describe the consumer itch Netflix and its competitors seem to be trying to scratch:
  • Satiation effect: people eventually grow tired of things they initially liked.
  • Variety-seeking behavior: enjoyment often increases with different experiences.
 
So, Shuffle might pull Netflix users out of their streaming ruts by providing them with an endless array of custom-curated and personally-satisfying program choices.
 
However, whether it’s taking excessive vitamin C or bingeing The Office, too much of even a good thing is too much.  At some point, people need to turn off their TVs, put down their iPads, and move on to other things.  The question, then, becomes:  Does a shuffle feature make streaming too tempting and difficult to deny?
 
Pulling oneself away from an interesting program can be hard, which I experienced firsthand earlier today.  In order to do some “research” for this piece, I turned on our TV to check out Xfinity’s voice commands.  The channel happened to be on a high-diving competition, held on a beautiful stone bridge, over a river somewhere in Europe.  I sat memorized for at least 10 minutes before returning to my senses and remembering why I was sitting there.   
 
The bottom-line, though, is that I was able to break free from the screen without any extraordinary effort.  Most people can muster at least the same amount of resolve, even when specially-selected programs are shuffled at them.
 
Speaking of resolve, I recently wrote an article that asked whether TikTok is addictive.  The conclusion (spoiler alert) was “No.”  When compared to commonly accepted addictions like alcohol and gambling, the app is not addictive in any scientific sense. 
 
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TikTok’s screen-swiping and Netflix’s Shuffle are similar in that both deliver virtually infinite, individualized video content.  However, 15-second smartphone clips from ordinary people are much different than 2.5-hour professional-produced films.  Is one spontaneous selection harder to resist than the other?
 
There should be a study, but it seems that TikTok's bite-sized content could be harder to forgo—like eating potato chips versus stuffed baked potatoes.  Both are good, but eating an additional stuffed baked potato is a big commitment, whereas popping one more potato chip, then another, is easy to start and sustain.  So, if longer programs have even less allure for consuming ‘one more,’ it seems that neither Netflix nor TikTok is truly addictive.
 
Having cleared the ethical hurdle, there’s still one more important consideration—effectiveness:  Will people really want to use Netflix’s Shuffle?  So far, reviews of the feature appear tepid; for instance, some have tweeted:
  • “Interesting new feature @netflix ... but what kind of insane person just says, “yolo, let’s spin the Netflix wheel of fortune”? (@TurnerLevison)
  • “they been testing this for months on mine and it’s trash, they put two things on your recently watched and if u shuffle again it’s just Netflix Originals.” (@BlondDaya)
 
Unfortunately, Netflix didn’t include me in its test market, so I haven’t been able to try the feature, but I have a hard time seeing many people using it.  First, Netflix already curates at least somewhat customized selections that users can see at a glance on their home screens.  Second, it may be frustrating or even mildly offensive to receive specific recommendations that make one wonder, “Why are they suggesting that for me?!”
 
To that point, after I stopped watching high-diving, I asked Xfinity to “Surprise Me.”  It suggested Hallmark Channel’s “Tulips in Spring.”  I had no problem declining that recommendation, which must have been meant for someone else in this house.
 
Given TikTok’s ‘swiping’ success, it wasn’t a bad idea for Netflix to test a ‘surprise me’ feature for its streaming service.  It seems unlikely, though, that the same consumption behavior will transfer to considerably longer program content, which makes Shuffle Play a fitting selection for “Simple-Minded Marketing.” 


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29 Comments

Too Attached to an App?

8/10/2020

22 Comments

 
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by David Hagenbuch, founder of Mindful Marketing & author of Honorable Influence

Of all the dangers facing the United States—natural disasters, terrorism, racism, a global pandemic—who would have thought a social media app would be mentioned among them?  China's TikTok has aroused the ire of the Trump administration because of its apparent threat to national security, but is addiction to the app an even greater cause for concern?
 
For the past year or more, TikTok has been on my radar screen, mainly because I try to keep tabs on what’s trending with the Gen Zs I aim to engage.  Last fall, the topic of the hugely popular social media app came up in one of my marketing classes, which inspired me to ask the question: “Should I be on TikTok?”  Several students immediately yelled “Yes!” while a seemingly equal number shouted “No!”  I wondered if either group had my best interest at heart.
 
Still not a user, the app gained more of my attention throughout the spring as several of its most popular videos made their way into mainstream media and marketers began talking of TikTok strategies.  Meanwhile, accusations of Chinese spying surfaced, and at least one U.S. firm asked its employees to remove TikTok from company mobile devices.
 
President Trump then threatened to ban TikTok, only to reverse course a few days later when global tech icon Microsoft indicated interest in buying the meteoric app.  Most recently, the President signed an executive order that will result in barring TikTok from the U.S. market unless an American company buys the app, which has led parent company ByteDance Ltd. to sue the administration.
 
Each of these intriguing developments has kept me on the edge of my seat, wondering what will happen next, but no news sparked my interest as much as a blurb in an August 4th email blast from marketing tech guru Shelly Palmer, who stated that “TikTok is already near (or at) the top of the list of the most addictive [emphasis added] social media apps.”
 
Surveillance by a foreign state has seemed like TikTok’s biggest threat, but is Americans’ addiction to the app an even greater concern?
 
To answer this question, it’s essential to understand exactly what TikTok is, as well as what it’s so rapidly achieved—some of us above a certain age may need a primer.  Steve Wright of Learn Online Video offers a nice overview of the app.  He shares a few of its endless stream of 15-second videos, in which their usually young creators often dance and/or lip sync to popular songs.  Wright describes the content, which is extremely varied, as “a smorgasbord of [the most] weird, creative, amazing, bizarre videos I’ve ever come across.”


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Apparently many find the eclectic selection of “simple, goofy, irreverent” videos appealing.  Since its launch in 2017, the app has been downloaded more than a billion times.   According to Liv Benger, writing for Medium, “over 682 million people downloaded TikTok in 2019 and [spent] an average of 50 minutes a day” using it.
 
Those stats certainly suggest rapid growth and near saturation of specific population segments, but do they actually indicate addiction?  Most of us know how hard it can be to put down our smartphones or other devices and stop checking email, playing games, texting friends, etc.  For some people, those behaviors become compulsive, but do they really rise to the level of addictions?
 
According to Cornell student Niko Nguyen, the answer is ‘yes.’  In February, The Cornell Daily Sun published an essay in which Nguyen described that the main reason for his difficult decision to delete his TikTok account was that he had found himself “sucked into its addictive grasp.”  He went on to explain why he believed TikTok is addictive: 
 
“The app itself is designed to keep us glued to our screens. With most other social media platforms, the majority of content is derived from accounts that you follow. And although you can follow and “friend” a lot of accounts on Instagram, Facebook, Twitter and Snapchat, there’s eventually a point where all the “interesting” content runs dry. With TikTok, that isn’t the case.
 
Nguyen’s explanation might sound like someone at a buffet who can't stop filling his plate because, “Everything tastes so good.”  In that case, we’d probably tell the patron he needs to control his own eating; we wouldn’t blame the restaurant for his overindulgence.
 
TikTok, however, isn’t the 'typical ‘restaurant.'  It uses something that most other apps don’t, at least not in such a sophisticated way.  Nguyen alludes to that something, which several others identify directly: artificial intelligence (AI).

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Palmer, mentioned near the onset of this piece, is one person who claims AI is at the root of TikTok addiction.  He says, “TikTok is a remarkably sophisticated AI model that literally tunes itself to your behaviors with a single goal: addicting you to TikTok.”
 
Others have further unpacked how AI might accomplish that objective.  In a New York Times article, John Herman identified the technology underlying each TikTok user’s very personalized For You page as “an algorithmic feed based on videos you’ve interacted with, or even just watched.”
 
Unlike other social media in which users have a significant say in the content they receive by virtue of who they friend or follow and what those people post, TikTok’s AI notes what users actually like to watch, regardless who shared it, then sends them more of the same, making TikTok “more machine than man.”

A piece in Fixing Port supported the same assertion:  “The TikTok algorithm can be blamed for this [addictiveness] to an extent. The algorithm sees what type of content you are watching (particular uploaders, particular genres, etc.) and then customizes the upcoming content to that liking.”
 
In The New Yorker, Jia Tolentino detailed her own ‘addiction’ to the AI-driven app:
 
“I was giving TikTok my attention because it was serving me what would retain my attention, and it could do that because it had been designed to perform algorithmic pyrotechnics that were capable of making a half hour pass before I remembered to look away . . . The algorithm gives us whatever pleases us, and we, in turn, give the algorithm whatever pleases it. As the circle tightens, we become less and less able to separate algorithmic interests from our own.”
 
In her article on Medium, Benger identified a psychological phenomenon, random reinforcement, that explains more precisely what TikTok users experience:  Although not every video provides the same level of reward, like playing a slot machine, the periodic payouts come often enough that users keep pulling the lever/swiping their screen because the next clip could be a real winner.
 
The way TikTok employs AI does seem to put the app in a different category in terms of possible addiction.  Whereas traditional methods of generating engaging content eventually run dry, the app’s AI-based video selection seems to know consumers better than they know themselves, allowing an endless array of just-often-enough, captivating content.
 
Notwithstanding these authors' insightful analyses of the app, two important and closely-related questions remain that none has appeared to answer:
  1. What exactly is addiction?
  2. Just because something is enjoyable, is it addictive?
 
Most people would likely easily answer the second question, ‘No,’ as there are many things that are very enjoyable to consume (i.e., eat, use, do) that are probably not ‘addictive,’ for instance:  take-out from a favorite restaurant, a round of golf, a concert, ice cream!
 
Over the years, I’ve often written about potentially addictive products, some of which have included:
  1. Alcohol
  2. E-Cigarettes
  3. Gambling
  4. Pornography
  5. Online shopping
  6. Smartphones
  7. Video games​
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In researching to write these and similar pieces, a few things I’ve learned are:
  • People tend to play fast and loose with the word addiction.
  • Genuine addictions tend to occur in relatively large percentages of the population, not with just a few people.
  • There are specific clinical criteria for classifying substances and other things as addictive:
      - an overpowering need
      - a tendency to increase consumption
      - a psychic dependence.
 
Although it’s common to hear people say things like, “That cake is so good; it’s addictive,” it’s unlikely that any of the clinical characteristics of addiction apply to eating cake.  For these reasons, when I wrote the blog posts above, I concluded that numbers 1-4 are often true addictions, while Numbers 5-7, though problematic for certain people, really aren’t.
 
TikTok, seems to fit best with the second set of products as a non-addiction.  That doesn’t mean that the app isn’t a time sink for some, or that it doesn’t present other potential problems.  Most people, however, likely can control their use of the app by setting time limits and mustering some will power.  Also, as Nguyen showed, it’s not that hard to close one’s TikTok account—it’s certainly much easier than dealing with a drinking problem or stopping smoking.

TikTok appears to provide its target market with inexpensive entertainment while also inspiring creativity and collaboration among users.  Although some of us may not understand its appeal and there could be other issues with its content or use, at this point the app should be ‘swiped up’ as "Mindful Marketing."


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    David Hagenbuch,
    founder of
    Mindful Marketing    & author of Honorable Influence

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